Great Salesperson: pois(0.5)
X Input L Output
5 0.012740638735861
6 0.025481277471723
7 0.043682189951525
8 0.065523284927287
9 0.087364379903049
10 0.10483725588366
11 0.11436791550945
12 0.11436791550945
13 0.10557038354718
14 0.090488900183298
15 0.072391120146639


Good Salesperson: pois(0.25)
X Input L Output
5 0.16062314104798
6 0.16062314104798
7 0.13767697804113
8 0.10325773353084
9 0.068838489020563
10 0.041303093412338
11 0.022528960043093
12 0.011264480021547
13 0.0051989907791754
14 0.0022281389053609
15 0.00089125556214435


Poor Salesperson: pois(0.125)
X Input L Output
5 0.10081881344492
6 0.050409406722462
7 0.021604031452484
8 0.0081015117946814
9 0.0027005039315605
10 0.00081015117946814
11 0.00022095032167313
12 5.5237580418282E-05
13 1.2747133942681E-05
14 2.731528702003E-06
15 5.463057404006E-07


Evidence Table
Hypotheses Evidence
GREAT = L(X=10; λ=0.5*24=12) 0.10483725588366
GOOD = L(X=10; λ=0.25*24=6) 0.041303093412338
POOR = L(X=10; λ=0.125*24=3) 0.00081015117946814